Latest (April 16 -19) survey by Social Weather Station commissioned by Businessworld:
• Pwersa ng Masa’s Jejomar “Jojo” C. Binay with 25 per cent overtook Nationalist People’s Coalition ‘s Loren B. Legarda, who got 24 points but Liberal Party’s Manuel “Mar” A. Roxas continues to enjoy a large lead with 39 percent.
• The top 12 in the senatorial race: 1. Ramon “Bong” B. Revilla, Jr. (Lakas-Kampi.CMD); 2. Jose “Jinggoy” E. Estrada (PMP); 3. Miriam Defensor-Santiago ( People’s Reform Party/Nacionalista Party); 4. Juan Ponce-Enrile (PMP); 5. Pia Cayetano (NP); 6. Franklin Drilon (LP);
7. Tito Sotto (NPC/NP); 8. Ralph Recto (LP); 9. Sergio Osmeña III (LP); 10. Ferdinand Marcos, Jr. (KBL/NP); 11. Lito Lapid (Lakas-Kampi-CMD); 12. Gilbert Remulla (NP).
With the race to Malacañang nearing the homestretch, presidential bet Sen. Benigno Simeon “Noynoy” C. Aquino III has gained a double-digit lead over his colleague and main rival, Sen. Manuel “Manny” B. Villar, Jr., in the latest BusinessWorld-Social Weather Stations (SWS) Pre-Election Survey.
The April 16 to 19 nationwide poll, conducted three weeks before the May 10 elections, saw Mr. Aquino — the Liberal Party bet — gaining a point to 38% compared to a two-point drop to 26% for the Nacionalista Party’s Mr. Villar.
The lead between the two opened up to 12 points from nine previously in the BW-SWS survey of March 19-22.
Click here for the rest of the story: http://www.bworld.com.ph/main/content.php?id=9817
In the vice presidential race, Makati Mayor Jejomar “Jojo” C. Binay of the Pwersa ng Masang Pilipino (PMP) has caught up with Nationalist People’s Coalition (NPC) bet Sen. Loren B. Legarda in the race for the vice-presidency but Liberal Party candidate Sen. Manuel “Mar” A. Roxas continues to enjoy a large, albeit narrower, lead.
The latest BusinessWorld-Social Weather Stations (SWS) Pre-Election Survey, conducted last April 16 to 19, saw Mr. Binay gaining four points to 25%, just edging out Ms. Legarda who lost a point to 24%.
Mr. Roxas’s score, meanwhile, fell to below 40% for the first time: he was down three points to 39% with three weeks to go before the May 10 elections.
Click here for the rest of the story:http://www.bworld.com.ph/main/content.php?id=9816
In the senatorial race, established politicians, most of them incumbent and former senators, appear to have cemented their hold on slots in the so-called Magic 12 Senate race, the latest BusinessWorld-Social Weather Stations (SWS) Pre-Election Survey showed.
In the top 12 are 1. Ramon “Bong” B. Revilla, Jr. (Lakas-Kampi.CMD) with 54 percent; 2. Jose “Jinggoy” E. Estrada (PMP) with 53 percent; 3. Miriam Defensor-Santiago ( People’s Reform Party/Nacionalista Party) with 43-44 percent; 4. Juan Ponce-Enrile (PMP) with 36 percent; 5. Pia Cayetano (NP) with 36 percent; 6. Franklin Drilon (LP) with 35 percent;
7. Tito Sotto (NPC/NP) with 33 percent; 8. Ralph Recto (LP) with 30 percent; 9. Sergio Osmeña III (LP) with 29 percent; 10. Ferdinand Marcos, Jr. (KBL/NP) with 28 percent; 11. Lito Lapid (Lakas-Kampi-CMD) with 27 percent; 12. Gilbert Remulla (NP) with 21 percent.
The top two were described as “well ahead” and nine said to have “always been in the winning circle” since December, leaving just one seat being fought over by three newcomers.
Five other senatorial candidates, however, are not far behind, according to the results of the April 16- to-19 survey, conducted three weeks before the May 10 national elections.
Well within statistical striking distance from the Magic 12 circle are of Bukidnon Rep. Teofisto “TG” L. Guingona III (LP) and businessman Jose “Joey” P. de Venecia III (PMP) who both scored 20%.
The SWS described as “not far behind” the 18% of PDP-Laban senatorial candidate Gwendolyn C. Pimentel-Gana, daughter of Senate Minority Leader Aquilino Q. Pimentel, Jr.; the 16% each for Sonia M. Roco, widow of the late senator Raul S. Roco (LP), Marine Col. Ariel O. Querubin (NP) and the LP’s Akbayan party-list Rep. Ana Theresia Hontiveros-Baraquel (16%); and the 15% of another LP bet, Muntinlupa City Rep. Rozzano Rufino B. Biazon.
In 20th and 21st places were Emilio Mario R. Osmeña (Promdi) and former Brig. Gen. Danilo P. Lim (LP), both with 13%.
Click here for the rest of the story:http://www.bworld.com.ph/main/content.php?id=9815
Noynoy is consistently number one in all surevys from the start up to the present , and Noynoy’s lead against nearest rival villaroyo is even getting wider . It is now logical, fair and safe to conclude that Noynoy is the winner in this presidential election, while Mar is definitely the winner for vice president.
the great act of Mar by giving way to Noynoy greatly improved his political status and earned respect and admiration of voters
i just received info from a trusted friend regarding the extortion activities of PASG under the office of the president, PASG is extorting 200millions from 168 Mall, 800k from Meisic Mall, 4.5 millions from Divisoria Mall,and 12 millions from Juan Luna Plaza.
Let’s not be hasty and say that Noynoy/Mar are already the winners. A lot of “Magic” can still happen. Let’s all be vigilant instead and push for clean, orderly, transparent elections, especially in the counting of the ballots.
I believe even most mock elections online conducted by several groups (including our own) have consistently shown Noynoy-Mar tandem leading. IF the elections will really be clean, they are sure winners. I agree with lurker, let’s try to be vigilant and think of how we can contribute to make the elections clean and orderly.
Seeing the list top 12 senatorial candidates, however, dismays me. If that will be the composition of the ‘new’ Senate, we might as well really abolish it.
Seeing the list top 12 senatorial candidates, however, dismays me. If that will be the composition of the ‘new’ Senate, we might as well really abolish it. – Phil
Me too. Di ba mas maganda sana kung hiwalay election para sa mga Senador or Congreso para masala ang mga kandidato. Sa dami kasi ng pagpipilian marami sa atin ang binoboto ay kung sino na lang ang laging naririnig o nakikilala nila.
The only saving grace among the 12 senators in the list is Serge Osmena. Sayang lang di nakapasok si Alex Lacson, sana makalusot.
In 2013, national elections na walang president/vice-president na kandidato. Doon, mas masusuri natin ang mga senatoriables.
Ayon nga kay Mr. Montelibano ng PDI, “It is all over but the cheating!”
Ano ba naman.. parang di toto yong senatorial survey.. sana di toto.. kasi palagi na lang mga lumang pangalan… tapos nasali pa si Marcos at enrile.. pwede ba iba naman.. sana wala na sina Revilla, Estrada,Enrile, Cayetano,Lapid.. at iba pang luma..
Sana sina Hontiveros na lang.. Acosta, Roco, aat madami pang ibang karapat dapat na bago.. Yoko na sa pagmumukha ng mga lumang pulitiko na yan.. hello… mga kababayan… gumising ka na kayo.. Grabe,.. mga artista.. revilla, estrada..lapid.. wag na po… tapos pinasukan pa ni Maracos at enrile… sigurado pag buhay yong blas ople… eh isasama din dito.. Please lang po… palitan na sana lahat….
After his Ampatuan visit, Remulla should had been displaced in the 12th position, or the purpose of the visit was to make ‘daya’ because 12th is a precarious position.
By what the survey says, in the case of senators, ang pagbabago parang pagluluma, . Madlang pilipino sana naman wag na ang mga lumang palpak. Kakasawa sila. Wag na sina Sotto, Recto, Drilon, Brenda, Lapid, Revilla, Pia, except JPE dahil parang may ibubuga pa (abangan ang kaso na isasampa niya kay Villarroyo).
Malayo pa at napakalabong makabangon mula sa siyam na taong pagkalugmok ang bansang Pilipinas base sa lumalabas na senatorial surveys.
Kailan kaya matututo ang mga botanteng Pinoy?
Tanong pa ule. Totoo ba naman kaya ang survey na ito?
Amazingly, Binay has grabbed the second spot from Loren. Fourteen points to go to grab the lead from Mar. Can he do it with Chiz going all out for him?
Chiz’ sudden visibility in the Binay campaign is definitely a deliberate well-placed wedge to make Mar lose the Vice-Presidency. I doubt that Chiz is really that close to Binay. What really are the ties that bind these two men? Nothing much that I can recall.
So there was really no need for Chiz to drive that wedge between Noynoy and Mar. But he did. Clearly a very early move to grab the presidency in 2016.
But I doubt that Chiz can succeed in getting Binay the Vice-Presidency. The lead is wide with only two weeks to go. Chiz knows this. Still, he drove that wedge in the Noynoy-Mar camp.
RE: Kailan kaya matututo ang mga botanteng Pinoy?
Tanong pa ule. Totoo ba naman kaya ang survey na ito?
Sagot ko naman Igan MPR eh pera pera ang usapangan ngayon…ang eleksyon sa Pinas e napakalaking negosyo, kaya ang Pinoy e tuliro ang kukote at di makapagdesisyon kung sinu-sino nga ba ang dapat iboto?
Ang isang think-tank group e nagsabi na si Noy Yellow Fever at C5 at Tiyaga e walang balls kasi nga daw e di nila kayang panindigan ang pagbuwag sa private armies at rebel groups sa buong bansa.
Only President Erap lang daw ang may paninindigan tungkol sa problemang ito, so paano titino ang Pinas kung maghahari-harian ang mga ASTIG na ang panakot e isang bala ka lang.
Well, hope na mag-isip naman ang marami natin Pinoy…di nakukuha sa bilyones o kasikatan ang maluklok sa Malacanang kundi yaong may balls to STOP itong mga kriminal sa ating lipunan at lalo na sa gobyerno de bobo ng kasalukuyang enchanted kingdom.
Yon lang! Tapos ang issue.
Nakakalungkot na ang isang backhoe operator na tulad ni Gilbert Remulla ay lumalamng na sa isang whistleblower na tulad ni Joey De Venecia.
Sana naman hindi manalo yan si Gilbert. Bata pa siya at kung makapasok yan sa senado magkakaroon pa siya ng mahabang panahon para gumawa ng limpak limpak na katarantaduhan tulad ni Alan Peter Cayetano.
Iboto natin si Joey De Venecia. Matapang at hindi nagpatinag sa $10M na inalok sa kanya ni Abalos para umatras at manahimik.
Yes to whistleblowers, No to backhoe operators.
gilbert remulla is a very corrupt politcian, who would do anything for his selfish interest at the expense of others
hindi ko pa rin gets kung paano naging number one sa survey si bong revilla. kung binabasehan ng tao dahil sa top-grossing film nung sa manila film fest ay engot na mga majority pilipino.
mind conditioning yong survey na yan. paano kung lalamang si gen. lim sa eleksyon? malamang may pruebang mandaya sina lito lapid, revilla at iba pang mga asungot dahil babaeshan nila sa surveys na ito.
Sychitpin, Mar giving way to Noynoy was not a great act. It was a calculated move. His ratings were going nowhere while Noynoy’s was phenomenal. It was calculated risk that Noynoy will get him to be his vice president in exchange for stepping down. Mar is no different from Loren. Both love to jump ship when there is an opportunity for furthering one’s ambition or when one’s ambition is in danger. Mar was blind to Erap’s acts but conveniently jumped ship prior to the impeachment trial. Mar kept a blind eye to GMA’s activities, even to the point of defending her during the massive cheating in 2004 until it became untenable when Hello Garci came out in 2005. He then jumped ship. I would be very wary of a Mar vice-presidency.
God forbid that Mar wins. He will definitely try to undermine Noynoy. Remember the various people and groups behind him are the same ones who were behind Gloria (same groups who rabidly defended her during and around the 2004 election period). We might have a similar episode like what happened in 2001; once Noynoy has served his purpose (make Mar win the vp), goodbye.
Phil is right, it looks like it will be a Noynoy-Mar victory. We just have to keep an eye on Mar and the former Gloria boys with him, they might just do something bad on Noynoy and we will have 6 more years of Gloria policies through Mar.
Binay may also be dirty just like the rest of the VP candidates but you have to hand it to this guy. He has loyalty. He did not abandon Cory nor did he abandon Erap during 2001. He maybe the least evil among all the VP candidates.
Santisima trinidad ina ng awa, baguhin po ninyo ang composition ng ‘winning’ senators. Disaster!
I doubt that Chiz is really that close to Binay. What really are the ties that bind these two men? Nothing much that I can recall. – Phil Cruz
FPJ, 2004 presidential election.
mb, I’m voting for JoeydV.
Gen.Danny Lim top my senatorial list followed by Col. Ariel Querubin, Ruffy Biazon, JoeydV, Osmena, Lao, Bautista, Alex Lacson, Baraquel.
Kuya Mar should worry about the upswing of Rambotito and do something. I believe Chiz can deliver more votes to Binay giving him terrible headaches. Pero, mananalo pa rin ang asawa ni ate Koring. Only my hula from over here…. 🙂
Never will i vote for Remulla..puro dakdak!! ala nga nagawa sa cavite eh..
For a Noynoy presidency to work, he needs a good team, the senatorial list based on the survey is a recipe for disaster…these jokers will just push their own vested interests, instead on focusing on the country, Noynoy will have his hands full…
hindi na yata ako naniniwala sa survey na ito..!! sobra na talaga..si gilbert remulla nasa magic 12, bakit sa maguindanao ba ginawa ang survey..?? survey can not elect a person running for an elected position, it is only a tool to condition the mind of the electorate to favor certain people, lalu na kung iyong cliente nila is a paying client to be surveyed.. pakitanong po sa mga kakilala ninyo kung me na survey na sa kanila o kaya kaibigan nila na na survey na..wala..!! i believe that it is the people`s vote not the survey that a candidate will win.. for me it will be erap who will be the next president.. it`s my intuition and belief..!!GOD save the philippines..
Si Captain Barbel pa rin ba ang #1. Tapos yung anak ng diktador, mandarabong at human rights violator #10? Hehehe, talagang di na tayo matuto.
Hayaan ninyo, kakanta si Imelda mamya ng Dahil sa iyo. Dahil sa iyo, dahil sa boto mo, same old same old na naman sa senado at sa di malayung panahon, magiging tunay na bayani ng Pinas si Mcoy, tulad ng mga medalya nung WW2.
Okay na sa akin yung survey result sa President at Vice President. Tama yung sinulat ni Lito Banayo na lalaki ang lamang ni Aquino kay Villar. Sana tumama din si Lito Banayo kapag lumabas ang Pulse Asia.
Yung sa mga senators, naging trend na kapag sasabay sa Presidential election, humahataw na yung mga kilalang politiko. Sa election ng senators sa kalagitnaan ng term ng Presidente, dyan nakakapasok yung hindi na masyadong gasgas na politiko.
Wala pa sigurong lima ang iboboto ko na senators. Si Osmena lang ang iboboto ko sa nasa magic 12 ng survey.
Maraming mga matatalinong botante sa atin. Ang nakakalungkot nga lang ay mas nakakalamang parin ang mga bobo, kaya marami paring nailuluklok sa puwesto na walanghiya at walang kaluluwa at magnanakaw gaya ng mga arroyo.
Sana naman mag-isip ng mabuti ang mga boboto sa May 10, lalo na sa 2nd district ng Pampanga.Huwag na huwag ninyo sanang iboboto si gloria kawatan na sinungaling.Nasa ating mga kamay ngayon mga kabalen ko para maging bayani sa paningin ng ating mga kababayan sa hindi pagluklok kay gloria at puwede rin tayo na maging kontrabida sa paningin nila kapag si gloria ay nanalo bilang congreswoman.
Kapag muling nailuklok ang mga kandidato na hindi karapatdapat,tayong mga mamamayan na rin ang may sala dahil hindi na tayo natuto at dapat lang talaga na tayo ay magdusa dahil sa ating kabobohan sa pagboto.
Lumutang lang ang pangalan ni Bong Revilla noong iskandalo ni Hayden Kho at Katrina Halili na dinala pa niya sa senado sa pamamagitan ng isang privelege speech. Sa dahilang iyon lamang ang kaya ng utak niya, muli siyang nawala sa limelight nang humupa ang iskandalo.
Tapos ngayon, TOP siya sa survey ng mga re-electionist senators ? BAKIT ??????? Ano na namang katarantaduhan ito??
Why on earth do we have to endure these fucking shit ???
reyp: your point is well taken, nevertheless we have to credit Mar for having the wisdom to give way to Noynoy. The late Pres Cory’s death reawakened Pinoy’s conscience, united LP and propelled Noynoy and Mar to a phenomenal victory.I remember Mar was the one who curse gma during a rally in Makati.
i agree senators frontliners were disappointing, particularly the very corrupt remulla, lapid,sotto,cayetano, etc… Hontiveros and Danny Lim are definitely better senatorial candidates.
Erap incredulous over latest SWS survey
http://www.gmanews.tv/story/189410/erap-incredulous-over-latest-sws-survey
nakakadismaya nga ang listahan ng top 12 senatorial candidate… sadya sigurong hindi na makapili ang mga tao ng tamang senatorial candidate sa tindi nag labanan pagka presidente… kung anong pangalan na lang ang unang pumasok sa isip… yun na iboboto… dahil yung ang lang ang mas kilala nila… hindi na magawang kilatisin man lang ang track records ng mga baguhang kandidato… sang ayon ako na huwag isabay ang botohan pagka senador sa pam-panguluhan…
Balweg, maligayang pagbabalik… si grizzy, wala na talaga…
Ang SWS ba ay dapat pang paniwalaan? Remember 2004, SWS conducted and exit poll which showed GMA winning in Metro Manila. Exit poll is a survey among those who have voted already, and yet they made a crazy result that GMA won in Metro Manila! FPJ won in 16 out of the 17 cities of Metro Manila. GMA won only in Las Pinas, Villar’s bailiwick.
Tnx. Igan Perl, excited na sa darating na halalan at lalong excited sa manok namin sa pagka-Mayor ng aming bayan?
Kalaban namin ang incumbent Mayor sa aming bayan na nakaticket kay Noynoy Yellow Fever at malaki na ang aming lamang na puntos dito.
Mayroon kaming 49 barangays at ang aming bayan ang isa sa pinakamalaking bayan sa aming probinsya.
Ang saya ng pangangampanya at parang piyesta, kaliwa’t kanan ang mga kandidato.
RE: Ang SWS ba ay dapat pang paniwalaan?
HINDI…Igan Andres, WALA sa tunay na istorya ang mga naglalabasang survey coz’ mismong nasaksihan ko ang pulso ng mga taga-Promdi.
Ang AMA ng Masang Pilipino e di hamak ang lamang kung sa kanayunan kukunin ang pulso ng mga botante. Ang kaso e hawak ng mga elitista ang mga firms na nagconduct ng survey kaya mahirap paniwalaan at lalo na yang ABS-CBN na pro-Noynoy Yellow Fever.
Masyadong maiingay ang mga elitista at yaong civil socialites na ang gustong masunod ang kanilang kapritsuhan sa buhay.
Kaya nagkaloko-loko ang Pinas ng 10-years sa pagsuporta kay Gloria. Ngayon nagsisipagbangong puri na kesyo na sila ang may guts to lead our country most, but sa totoo lamang e sila ang problema ng bansa natin.
Sina C5 at Tiyaga, Noy Yellow Fever at iba pa e sila ang kasama sa naghudas noong EDSA DOS not Once but Twice. Paano natin iaasa ang kapalaran ng ating bansa sa mga ipokritong ito.
NEVER.
RE: Why on earth do we have to endure these fucking shit ???
Demokrasya Igan Jawo, kalayaan ng bawat mamamayan na ipahayag ang kanilang gusto na mangyari sa pamamagitan ng malayang pagboto.
Dapat ONE DAY ELECTION lang at pagkatapos nito e magsama-sama tayong Pinoy upang paunlarin ang ating bansa. Ang problema e nagiging personal sa marami yaong kanilang pagkatalo so heto gagawa at gagawa ng alingasngas to destroy ang pagkatao kung sino man ang palaring MANALO sa botohan.
Kailang sports lang ang laban pagtalo e di panalo, ka simpleng bagay…di ba, ang kailangan ng bawat isa e magmasid at bantayan ang sinumang para maging maayos ang pagpapatakbo ng bansa.
Ang hirap e sa oras na maupo sa pwesto heto na at kanya-kanya na ng diskarte kung papaano magpapayaman o wawaldasin ang pera ng bayan.
Kung magpapakatotoo lamang ang Pinoy e sana maulad ng ang Pinas.
Kapapanood ko pa lang ng paid ad ni Villar na ang kanyang ina ay naglalahad ng kanyang pinagdaan tugkol sa pagkamatay ng kanyang anak. Nakakaawa ang matandang ale pero something is wrong in some level.
Kailangan pa bang umabot sa ganito para lang makabawi sa survey at manalo sa Mayo 10?
pinoy style democracy. somehow democracy is less meaningful when a winner does not have the majority of votes. in the usa it is possible that a presidential candidate wins even if one did not get the absolute majority of votes but the majority instead of those who have the right to elect the president as directed by their constitution. in a parliamentary system, the representatives elect the prime minister. in pinas it is possible to be president even when the majority of the people did not vote for the winner.on paper it seems impractical but workable in pinas because of the number of turncoat politicians who jump over the winning side after election.
in pinas it is possible to be president even when the majority of the people did not vote for the winner.on paper it seems impractical but workable in pinas because of the number of turncoat politicians who jump over the winning side after election.
Spot on, Norpil!
My opinion (posted under a past thread here):
In the 1998 presidential elections, even Joseph Estrada, king of the Philippine movies, whose supporters like to proclaim as the president that was overwhelmingly voted into office, received only a little over 39% of the votes cast or a total of 10,722,295 votes, clearly not even close to majority vote, no matter how you toss the figures around.
In other words, around 61% or 16,180,241 of the nation’s voters did NOT want Estrada to be their president.
Questions beg to be asked: What if this happens again? How can the winner of the election expect to seriously govern a fractured nation if 61% of the nation’s voters don’t want the winner for their president?
Answer to first question: You have a problem!
Answer to second question: With great difficulty! (or as Norpil says, they have to be turncoats every other tri-mester)
RE:…in pinas it is possible to be president even when the majority of the people did not vote for the winner.on paper it seems impractical but workable in pinas because of the number of turncoat politicians who jump over the winning side after election.
Well, Igan Norpil…bunga ng EDSA UNO kaya heto lalong naging magulo ang Pinoy style politic? Demokrasya na gustong palabasin ng Yellow wannabees ang magkaroon ng multi-party systems.
Kita nating lahat ang mga ambisyosong pulitiko na magtayo ng sarili nilang partido political para masunod ang layaw nila sa buhay.
Paano makakakuha ng 50% + kung isang katerba ang tumatakbong pangulo thru the umbrella ng kung sinu-sinong partido political, kasama pa diyan yaong feeling neutral at walang iba yaong independent kuno.
Dapat ibalik ang two-party system para mabawasan ang mga hunyango at balimbing?
igang balweg and adb. i think no system is perfect but the people themselves should work to make it perfect.pinas had the two party system for a long time and it should had worked but an accident in history stopped its development.a system with more than two parties is also ok but there ought to have a run off election as in other countries although this will add more to the cost of election.political parties ought to have their own plattforms developed by its members and not dominated by the moneyed members.