Pulse Asia’s score card based ontheir Jan 22 – 26 nationawide survey among 1,800 respondents with a +/-2 margin.
The top 12:
1. Bong Revilla
2. Jinggoy Estrada
3. Pia Cayetano
4. Frank Drilon
5. Miriam Santiago
6. Juan Ponce Enrile
7. Ralph Recto
8. Serge Osmeña
9. Tito Sotto
10. Lito Lapid
11. Bongbong Marcos
12. Joey de Venecia
Currently leading the senatorial race is Senator Revilla whose overall voter preference of 51.9% translates to a statistical ranking of 1st to 2nd places, putting him in a virtual tie with Senator Estrada (50.4%), who is ranked 1st to 3rd. Meanwhile, Senator Pilar Juliana S. Cayetano (46.8%) is ranked 2nd to 4th, slightly ahead of former Senate President Franklin M. Drilon (43.2%) who ranks 3rd to 6th. Tied from 4th to 6th places are Senator Miriam Defensor-Santiago (41.2%) and incumbent Senate President Juan Ponce Enrile (39.7%).
Completing the list of probable winners are former National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA) Director General Ralph G. Recto (34.4%), former Senators Sergio R. Osmeña III (31.6%) and Vicente C. Sotto III (30.5%), Senator Manuel M. Lapid (29.7%), Ilocos Norte Representative Ferdinand R. Marcos Jr. (26.3%), and Mr. Jose P. de Venecia III (24%).
Within striking distance of a senatorial seat are Muntinlupa Representative Rozzano Rufino B. Biazon (19.8%), Bukidnon Representative Teofisto D. Guingona III (19.7%), and Atty. Alexander L. Lacson (19.1%) – all of whom are ranked 13th to 15th. Atty. Lacson, contrary to previous trends in pre-election voting preferences, is practically making it despite a very low awareness level (33%). In the meantime, about one in ten Filipinos (10.9%) does not express support for any of the senatorial candidates for the May 2010 elections – much higher than the December 2009 figure (3.4%), possibly due to the use of a sample ballot listing 62 names for the senatorial race.
Only two senatorial candidates enjoy improvements in their voter preference during the period December 2009 and January 2010 – Senator Lapid (+6.6 percentage points) and AKBAYAN Party List Representative Anna Theresia H. Hontiveros-Baraquel (+6.2 percentage points).
The latter, who is currently ranked 17th to 25th with an overall voter preference of 11.0%, appears to have benefited much from being included in this survey with the addition of “Hontiveros” to her proffered name, an electoral privilege she had to gain from the COMELEC.
In contrast, support levels for several senatorial candidates decline during this period, with the biggest drop being recorded by Senator Defensor-Santiago (-10.2 percentage points), possibly due to the use of a sample ballot. The others who experience a decline in voter preference between December 2009 and January 2010 are former Senate President Drilon (-5.2 percentage points), former Senator Francisco S. Tatad (-6.5 percentage points), Atty. Gwendolyn D. Pimentel (-6.5 percentage points), former Senator Osmeña (-8.6 percentage points), former NEDA Director General Recto (-8.7 percentage points), Bukidnon Representative Guingona (-8.8 percentage points), and former Senator Sotto (-9.7 percentage points).
Several changes in statistical ranking are also recorded between December 2009 and January 2010. Among the probable winners, Senator Lapid registers the biggest improvement as he now ranks 8th to 11th, up from 12th to 14th in January 2010. The others whose statistical ranking improve during this period are Senator Revilla (from 1st-4th to 1st-2nd), Senator Cayetano (from 5th-9th to 2nd-4th), Senate President Enrile (from 5th-9th to 4th-6th), and Mr. de Venecia (from 12th-14th to 11th-12th). On the other hand, the most pronounced decline in statistical ranking is recorded by Senator Defensor-Santiago – from 1st to 4th in December 2009 to 4th to 6th at present. Additionally, the statistical rankings of the following also decline during this period – former Senate President Drilon (from 2nd-4th to 3rd-6th), former NEDA Director-General Recto (from 5th-9th to 7th-9th), and former Senators Osmeña and Sotto (from 5th-9th to 7th-10th).
I have not exactly made up my mind yet as to which 12 senatorial candidates to vote but I do know who I won’t be voting for in the coming elections. They include the top 2 (Revilla and Jinggoy).
However, I have got a
short list
containing a somewhat “eclectic” mix of “senatoriables.”
Sana huwag magkatotoo ang survey na ito. I can’t believe to see the following candidates :
1) Lito Lapid – Tumatakbo daw siya dahil utos ni Gloria. Anong klaseng kandidato ito pag inutos ni Gloria na tumalon sa bangin gagawin niya rin ba…pag heto talaga nanalo suko na ako sa Pinas.
2) Sotto – Ang bilis makalimot ng mga tao. Siguro dapat ibalik ang “ASO” para matandaan ng mga tao.
3) Recto – Huwag naman sana.
i’m still hoping na makapasok si Lim at Hontiveros.
Hanggang ngayon ay wala pa ding pinag bago ang mga Pinoy. Bakit dapat pa nating iboto ang mga trapong ito,
Revilla – Kasi dahil artista lang pero walang talino, pati asawa magpupulitika na rin.
Estrada – Di na kayo nadala, ano ba ang nagawa nito sa senado.
Cayetano – Kala ko matino yon pala kakampi pa din ni Villar.
Santiago – Minsan okay, minsan hindi, maka arroyo pa din. Enrile – Tagal na niyang pulitiko pero ano nga bang nagawa niya na tulad ni Ople noon, tapos ngayon magpapapogi dahil eleksiyon na nanaman.
Sotto – the same thing, wala ring nagawa noong senador siya.
Lapid Nambutas lang ng silya sa senado, walang talino.
Marcos – nakakairita ng kung babalik pa ang isang Marcos sa senado.
De Venecia – di ko type kasi naging maka Arroyo din in the past.
Ano ba naman kayong mga Pinoy? Kaya walang pagbabago ang bansa natin. Wag na sananag pabalikin ang mga taong ito sa gobyerno. Panahon na ng pagbabago… sawang sawa na ang tao sa mga ito. Future ng mga anak natina ng nakasalalay. Pwede ba maging matalino tayo sa pagboto. Wag maging ignoramos! kakainis na talaga!
Dapat Acosta, Hontiveros, Rocco, Osmena, at yong iba pang bagong kakandidatong senador… super yaman na ang mga ito.. dahilnagpayaman lang naman sila… at puro awayan ang ginwa sa senado… Masa o Ocampo.. yoko din napunta sa Nacionalista.. me pagka balimbing….Basta iba na lang please… yoko ng makitang lugmok sa kahirapan ang bansa natin… pati ang lalong naghihirap na mga Pinoy…. iba naman please….
Tama si Jansen. Kung totoo ang survey at mga ito ang mananalo, di na talaga uunlad ang Pilipinas. Kung ang mga ito rin lang ang bubuo ng Senado, mabuti pa ngang i-abolish na lang ito.
#1 si Bong Revilla, God help us.
kung ako ang boboto para senador pipiliin ko sina Lim,Queruben,Honteveros,Rocco,Ocampo,Osmena,Tamano.yong iba pag iisipan ko pa.but i will never vote for lapid and revilla,Dios mio naman!
Oh my God ! Just looking at the list makes my stomach turn.
Three actors..who don’t know even know how to act.
One comedian.
One brain damaged.
One over-aged chameleon.
One son of a plundering dictator.
And one Batangueno who shoved the E-VAT dagger deep down into our throats.
Kaya maraming nagmamahal na mga kandidato sa mga masa, kasi mga tan gee A sila, madali silang mauto. Tunay kayo, Bee O Bee O lamang ang boboto diyan kay Revilla at Lapid. Isama din sina Sotto at Brenda Santiago.
i second the motion, sana wa g magkatotoo ang survey pareho rin kasi. kawawang pinoy paano tao mababago kung ito uli.
Ano kaya ang demographics, educational, economic, etc., classification ng population sample, kung mayroon, ng survey na ito?
Palagay ko, si Bongbong will be #8 or #9.
Isang napaka-tangang pilpino ang ating bansa,kapag ang magwawagi sa halalan ay ang top sa survey at ang iba pang kandidato ni barrangay kagawad ay di puwedeng manungkulan. Di ba’y nilaklak at nagpakabusog na sa buwis ng kaawang JUAN,eto naman ang walang kamatayan litanya ng mga hinayupak kailangan daw ng bayan ang kanilang paglingkod at upang paunlarin ang bawat buhay ng mamayan.Umusad ang buhay ng pilipino,tama usad sa lalong kahirapan,tignanan natin ang bilang ng nagugutom ngayon at ng mga nakaraan panahon di ba sila ay inihalal at nanalo.
Isagani, re # 10. Here’s some info from Pulse Asia on the survey:” Based on a multistage probability sample of 1,800 representative adults 18 years old and above,…” http://pulseasia.com.ph/pulseasia/story.asp?ID=704
More EVAT to come. Here’s Recto statement kahit pala si Noynoy at Villar will support EVAT.
“Recto was one of the proponents of Extended Value-Added Tax Law or the EVAT Law.
His support for the EVAT was seen as one of the reasons he lost his Senate re-election bid in 2007.
“If only the people would understand that the EVAT was really meant as a safety net for the country which was then undergoing financial
woes,” he said.
He was confident that his support of the EVAT would not pull him down this time.
“After all, Senators Aquino and Villar, who are running for the presidency now, also supported EVAT.”
Aquino and Villar are in close a fight for the top post in the country, according to the latest surveys.”
Looks promising indeed.
Siguro tuwang-tuwa ang mga taga-ABSCBN at GMA7.
Dahil sa pambubobo nila, nagiging gago na rin ang mga tao.
Ano kaya kung si Erap manalo na President, ei Edu as Vice Pres..Sentors Revilla, Lapid, Sotto, Recto (asawa ni Ate Vil, si Pangilinan ba kasali? (asawa ni Sharon) our government will be run by entertainers and will be the capital of Show biz..
Up there is Drilon the crying dumbo jumbo senator who offered to his dearest Gloria to transfer Malacanang to Iloilo because he and his provincemates want to show their undying love for her. Where is he now but with Noynoy. Nawala na at kumupas na ang pagmamahal niya kay Gloria kaya kay Noynoy naman inaalok. Sa Tarlac ba o sa Iloilo ililipat ang Malacanang?
I dont really care who will win. But I will vote for those who have no flyers on my street.